Seasonal Climate Outlook Message for November 2002 to February 2003

The bottom line

Low Rainfall Probabilities For Queensland (Dated 06/11/02)

The 30day average of the SOI as of the 6th November is -2.0.

The key point of the current outlook is for continuing hot, mostly dry conditions for November to January. While there is always the chance of relief rainfall over summer, there is only a low chance of getting the well above average rainfall needed to break the drought.

Currently the probability of receiving or getting above the long term median rainfall for November to January is low (10-40%) for most of Queensland.

The chance of above median rainfall is slightly higher (40-60%) for parts of the Darling Downs and far west of the state.